Agencies
Washington, May 20:
An expected split verdict in Kentucky and Oregon Tuesday is unlikely to alter the arithmetic loaded against her, but Hillary Clinton still insists the Democratic presidential race is 'nowhere near over.'
'I'm going to make [my case] until we have a nominee,' the
former first lady told supporters at a campaign rally in Kentucky,
'but we're not going to have one today and we're not going
to have one tomorrow and we're not going to have one the next
day. 'This is nowhere near over, none of us is going to have
the number of delegates we're going to need to get to the
nomination,' she argued even as a new CNN 'poll of polls'
indicated Clinton holds a 30-point lead in Kentucky while
Obama is up by 10 in Oregon. The split verdict in Kentucky
with 51 delegates at stake and Oregon with 52 up for grabs
would make it impossible for Clinton to catch Obama in pledged
delegates. Obama, who would be America's first black president,
has already garnered the support of 1904 delegates, including
292 super delegates or key party officials not bound by primary
results, and is just 121 short of the magic number of 2,026
to clinch the nomination.
But despite trailing Obama across all fronts - pledged delegates,
super delegates, states won and the popular vote - Clinton
with only 1717 delegates, including 274 super delegates, has
refused to heed growing calls to drop out of the race. Explaining
Clinton's argument that the race is not quite over yet, her
campaign spokesman said Clinton believes neither candidate
will have the necessary 2,210 delegates by the last primary
on June 3, the number she says is needed because she argues
Michigan's and Florida's delegates must be counted. The Democratic
National Committee has set the number of delegates needed
at 2,026 after stripping those states of their delegates for
moving up their primaries against party rules. Obama too appears
to be in no hurry to declare victory in the Democratic primaries,
but his campaign speeches of late clearly indicate that he
has already set his sights on the November presidential election
by training his guns on presumptive Republican nominee John
McCain.
'Everybody is surprised that I am standing here. Lets face
it, nobody thought a 46 year old black guy named Barack Obama
was going to be the Democratic nominee. The reason this has
worked is because of you. 'You decided you wanted to take
your government back and that is what we are going to be fighting
for all the way through November,' the Senator from Illinois
told the crowd at a rally in Oregon Sunday. 'Senator Clinton
and I have had a terrific contest and she has been a formidable
candidate,' he told reporters easily slipping into the past
tense as if the race is already over. In Kentucky, opinion
polls suggest Clinton is winning 58 percent of the vote while
Obama is at 28 percent. Kentucky has a broad swath of working
class white voters - the demographic that has long supported
Clinton and propelled her to a 41-point victory in West Virginia
one week ago.
Her large margin in Kentucky appears to indicate those voters
are sticking with Clinton, even as Obama appears to be the
presumptive Democratic nominee. In Oregon, Obama is winning
50 percent of likely Democratic voters there while Clinton
is at 40 percent. With a large population of young voters
and those who are college-educated, that state has demographics
that have long favoured Obama's candidacy. Meanwhile, amid
reports that the Democratic Party's leaders and largest fundraisers
are beginning to take steps to try to bring their party together
after a long, hard-fought primary campaign, the latest Gallup
daily tracking poll suggests Democratic voters are beginning
to coalesce around Obama. Obama holds a 16-point lead over
Clinton in Gallup's latest daily tracking poll released Monday.
He has the support of 55 percent of Democratic and Democratic-leaning
voters while Clinton's support is at 39 percent. Previously,
Obama's largest lead over Clinton was 11 percentage points,
in daily tracking polls conducted in mid-May and mid-April,
according to Gallup. Prior to 2004 Democratic vice presidential
candidate John Edwards's exit from the nomination race, Clinton
held a 20-point lead over Obama in mid-January